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Forex Basics |
Fundamental Factors |
Technical Tools |
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Trend Reversal Patterns
The sideways price action of a reversal pattern signifies that upon breaking out of the pattern there will be a turnaround in the current trend.
We will be investigating the Head and Shoulders and Inverse Head and Shoulders on this page. Double Tops and Bottoms and Triple Tops and Bottoms will be discussed on the next page.
Other reversal patterns such as Rounded Tops and Bottoms, V-Formations, and Diamond Formations are not as common and harder to see. Rounded Tops and Bottoms will be discussed briefly on the next page while you can check our glossary for some information on V-Formations and Diamond Formations.
Head and Shoulders
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most classic patterns in a technical analyst’s toolkit.
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This three-peak formation is named for its resemblance to a head and two shoulders. The center peak (head) protrudes above the remaining two peaks (shoulders), which are set at or close to identical levels. The common line of support for all three peaks, which does not have to be a horizontal line, is known as the Neckline. The final downward penetration of the neckline confirms the start of a new downward trend.
There is a chance that even after there is a break of the neckline that the trend may not reverse. A good validation of a reversal would be if the break is significant or if the neckline is tested and it turns from support to resistance. Also, a trader should look and see if momentum was higher during the formation of the left shoulder compared to the right shoulder as this would indicate that buying pressure is decreasing and a true reversal pattern is taking place. During a true head and shoulders reversal, the downward move can be expected to be equal to the distance from neckline to head. |

Here is an example of a head and shoulders pattern on a daily chart using the GBP/USD currency pair.
Inverse Head and Shoulders
The inverse Head and Shoulder pattern follows the same model.
In the 4-hour chart below you can see that at first price is heading downwards. After the pattern forms, price reverses and there is a substantial move in an upward direction. Soon though price retracts and tests the neckline. The neckline holds as support, and the uptrend continues, completing the reversal. You can also see, from the momentum indicator, that selling pressure eases by the time the right shoulder is forming. |
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This figure is an example of an inverse head and shoulders pattern on a 4 hour chart using the EUR/USD pair.
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Risk Warning
Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
There is considerable exposure to risk in any off-exchange foreign exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage, creditworthiness, limited regulatory protection and market volatility that may substantially affect the price, or liquidity of a currency or currency pair.
More over, the leveraged nature of forex trading means that any market movement will have an equally proportional effect on your deposited funds. This may work against you as well as for you. The possibility exists that you could sustain a total loss of initial margin funds and be required to deposit additional funds to maintain your position. If you fail to meet any margin requirement, your position may be liquidated and you will be responsible for any resulting losses. To manage exposure, employ risk-reducing strategies such as 'stop-loss' or 'limit' orders.
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. |
Forex.com/UK acts as the clearing agent and counterparty to customers introduced by "Global Currencies" for an IB margined forex transactions. FOREX.com is a trading name of GAIN Capital - FOREX.com UK Limited and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. FSA No. 190864.
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